Algorithmic takeover analysis
AVENIR BUSINESS & CONSULTING · safeguard
Bourges (18) Centre-Val de Loire · cuisson associée à la vente au détail de pains et de viennoiseries à partir de pâtes et de pâtons surgelés etc...
Opportunity to study first
Safeguard published 3 days ago (Bourges, Centre-Val de Loire): action window open, bakery, €810k to €2M of estimated revenue.
Why look at this case
- Company under court protection: a negotiation is possible without an auction.
- Recent publication (3 days ago): few competing buyers yet.
Action window
Window open · 169 days left
Safeguard opened on 25 August 2026: no forced sale, but a partnership or capital contribution can be negotiated with the owner during the observation period, until about 23 February 2027.
Estimated size and value
Declared headcount
6-9
Reference sector
Bakery
10.71C
Sector median EBITDA margin
14%
Prices seen on comparable business sales
3 business sales in the same sector in Centre-Val de Loire, with a price published in the BODACC over the last twelve months: median price €135,000, from €14,500 to €212,600.
The list of comparable sales (name, town, price, date, link to the deed) is included in the Pro and Business plans.
Prices printed in the business-sale deeds published in the BODACC, same NAF division (10). These are prices actually paid, not asking prices.
The rest of the analysis is reserved for Pro and Business members
Revenue band, indicative takeover ticket, detailed timetable, next steps and documents to request: included in Pro (€99 per month before tax) and Business, with the company of the month.
How the score is built
- Action window
25 / 25 - Type of procedure
12 / 15 - Size of the business
15 / 15 - Sector margin
11 / 15 - Track record
10 / 10 - Legal form
8 / 10 - Price and ticket
5 / 10
Seven criteria, 100 points: the action window weighs the most, because a good deal past its deadline is no deal at all. The type of procedure, the size of the business, the sector margin, the track record, the legal form and the price or ticket complete the score.
How to read this analysis
Safeguard protects a company that is not yet unable to pay its debts. The owner stays in charge, debts are frozen during a renewable six-month observation period, and no sale is imposed. A buyer comes in through a partnership, a capital contribution or a share purchase negotiated with the owner and the administrator.
The score does not say the company is healthy: it says a buyer should open the file now. It is computed every day from the notice published in the official bulletin of civil and commercial announcements (BODACC), completed with the national companies register (NAF code, headcount, creation date, legal form). Amounts are orders of magnitude derived from sector statistics, not the company's accounts.
Pro and Business members see the revenue band, the indicative ticket, the detailed timetable, the next steps and the list of documents to request from the court-appointed officer. Our legal team can then prepare the offer with you: perimeter, price, financing and filing with the registry.
Automatic analysis based on the published notice and the national companies register. It is neither legal advice nor a valuation: the figures are orders of magnitude to confirm with the documents of the procedure.